Commentaries | FULCRUM

Demography and Democratisation

Thailand’s current political demonstrations suggest that demography matters for democracy.

What if General Prayut Resigns?

Prime Minister General Prayut’s resignation would complicate, not moderate, Thailand’s current political turmoil.

Myanmar Elections: Change the Only Constant

As vote counts stream in from Sunday’s general elections, the expectation is that the majority of voters have chosen the incumbent party. This is a reflection of their desire for slow and gradual change in the country’s development.

China-US Competition: Southeast Asia Can Decide What’s Best

Southeast Asian countries prefer a healthy balance of power between major powers in the region. This is often overlooked by China and the United States, which want them to take a stand on issues of concern.

Myanmar May See More Violence After the Polls

There is a heightened risk of violence after the national polls this Sunday. This stems from two structural factors: inter-party clashes and the problems in Rakhine state.

Will China Exploit America’s Domestic Distractions for Strategic Gains in Asia?

The India-China land border, more than the South China Sea, is the regional flashpoint that could flare.

South Korea‘s Southeast Asian Potential

South Korea is well-positioned to become a more important power for Southeast Asia and ASEAN.

The 2020 Regional Elections in Indonesia: The Use and Abuse of Religion

Indonesia has laws that seek to deter the politicisation of religion. This will prove to be challenging, especially with the regional elections round the corner.

Prime Minister Suga Goes to Jakarta

Prime Minister Suga’s first trip shows that an “independent and active” Indonesia is not an easy partner for Japan’s Free and Open Indo-Pacific strategy.