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Category Archives: Commentaries

The Philippines and West Philippine Sea: Bringing Deterrence Into the Picture

The Philippines needs to start investing in a credible deterrence strategy if it wants to secure its interests in the West Philippine Sea.

Posted byLyd w25 Dec 202424 Dec 2024Posted inCommentariesTags:2024 Top 10, China, China-Philippine Relations, Philippines, South China Sea

2024: What Difference a Year Makes, and Goodbye (for Now)

A tuk-tuk driver checks his rearview mirror at Pratunam Market, Bangkok

There will be a publishing break for Fulcrum between Christmas and the New Year. We will resume publication on 2 January 2025.

Posted byLyd w24 Dec 202424 Dec 2024Posted inCommentariesTags:Fulcrum Notice

Chinese Migrants and the Philippines: The Need to Plug Legal Loopholes

The Philippines’ immigration laws have failed to keep pace with a growing influx of new Chinese immigrants. The laws need to be reviewed to curb corruption in the system.

Posted byblackbox24 Dec 202424 Jan 2025Posted inCommentariesTags:Immigration, Philippines

ASEAN Needs a Common Position on Myanmar

People from Bahmo crossing a river as they arrive at Sinkin village

After years of intractability, the regional organisation needs to move as one to make any headway on Myanmar. It is not clear this can be done without inclusive conversations.

Posted byLyd w23 Dec 202423 Dec 2024Posted inCommentariesTags:ASEAN, Myanmar, Outlook 2025, Thailand

Trump’s Tariff Threats and Supply Chain Bifurcation: A Lose-Lose Proposition

Trump’s threat of tariffs on various countries including China could spark a 1930s-era trade war.

Posted byblackbox23 Dec 202428 Aug 2026Posted inCommentariesTags:China-U.S. Relations, U.S. Foreign Policy, U.S.-ASEAN Relations, US

Parsing the Politicking Behind the Police

The reforms of the Royal Thai Police give some semblance of movement. But politicking remains at the heart of the system.

Posted byblackbox20 Dec 202428 Aug 2026Posted inCommentariesTags:Thai Politics, Thailand

China’s Pop Fiction Boom Poses a Dilemma for the Party

The export of Chinese pop fiction has found ready markets in Southeast Asia such as Thailand. But some undesirable genres pose a dilemma for China’s soft power.

Posted byblackbox20 Dec 202428 Aug 2026Posted inCommentariesTags:Arts and Culture, China, China-Southeast Asia relations

Politically Proofing the Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone for Credibility and Durability

There is positive sentiment on both sides of the Causeway about the proposed special economic zone in Johor. However, the project needs to be future-proofed against potential political complications up north.

Posted byblackbox19 Dec 202413 Jul 2025Posted inCommentariesTags:Malaysia, Malaysian Economy, Singapore

Locating Theravāda Buddhism in Maritime Southeast Asia

Theravāda Buddhist communities across maritime Southeast Asia have long adapted to local conditions. Even today, believers are finding new ways of transmitting the faith to younger adherents.

Posted byblackbox19 Dec 202424 Jan 2025Posted inCommentariesTags:Indonesia, Religion, Southeast Asia, Thailand

Japan-ROK-US Trilateral Relations: Flying into Turbulence

The political tides are going against the recently impeached South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol and Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba. This could adversely affect the trilateral security arrangement involving Japan, South Korea and the US.

Posted byblackbox18 Dec 202428 Aug 2026Posted inCommentariesTags:Japan, South Korea, U.S. Foreign Policy, US

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