There is revived interest in developing an ASEAN oil stockpile, a decades-old concept. The rationale is clear, but the hurdles remain high.
Author Archives: blackbox
The Grey Capital Malaise Infecting Thailand
Thailand has not been immune to the sweep of ‘grey capital’ afflicting Laos and Myanmar. Given the authorities’ weak-willed approach to fighting the problem, it will continue to fester.
New US Tariffs on Thailand: The Need for Market Diversification
The US’ latest series of tariffs is seeking to compel Thailand and other countries to import less from China. There is a need for long-term market diversification.
The Politics of Indonesia’s Fiscal Recentralisation: Public Views on Regional Transfer Cuts
Indonesia’s central government risks incurring public dissatisfaction with its cuts to regional budgets. If left unchecked, the president’s re-election prospects might dim in time.
Prabowo’s Nutrition Agency Shake-Up Reveals Deeper Structural Problems
Rent-seeking plagues Indonesia’s politically charged free nutritious meals, but there is no clear way forward.
Should Southeast Asia Fear the Second China Shock?
The second China shock fundamentally differs from the first. Southeast Asia should strategically optimise the growth of capital imports and investment from China.
Neutrality by Sector: Malaysia’s Geoeconomic Alignment under Anwar
Malaysia is trying to preserve neutrality between the US and China, but that space is narrowing as rivalry intensifies in trade, technology, and security. This Long Read argues that neutrality should not be judged only by aggregate trade and investment flows, because sector-level dependencies reveal hidden alignments that reduce real policy freedom.
The US-China AI Chip War: Southeast Asia’s Compliance Dilemma
Southeast Asian countries face two dilemmas in the Sino-US AI chip war: aligning their technology stacks with either of the great powers and preventing the illegal diversion of restricted chips.
Singapore’s Trade Agreements Show How Small States Shape Global Legal Norms
From digital trade to essential supply chains, Singapore’s recent plurilateral trade agreements are reshaping how states sustain trade cooperation and build resilience within a rules-based order.
Thailand’s Blue Regime: Giving No Quarter?
The ruling Bhumjaithai Party has de facto control over most senators in the Upper House and cemented its dominance of both houses of Parliament.
