Even though Thailand’s pro-junta camp has been beefing up their electoral support, they still do not seem ready to hold the long-delayed elections. Further postponement of the 2019 elections may cause protestors to take to the streets once again.
Category Archives: Commentaries
US Navy Conducts First South China Sea FONOP of 2019
A recent freedom of navigation operation conducted by the USS McCampbell in the South China coincided with talks in Beijing between US and China. The relatively restrained response by the People’s Liberation Army lessened the risk of a collision – and a serious crisis in China-US relations.
How to Read Hanoi’s Position on the South China Sea COC?
The ASEAN-China Code of Conduct negotiations took an unexpected turn when Vietnam started calling for a ban on any new Air Defence Identification Zone over the South China Sea. However, China is unlikely to concede due to its maritime ambitions, and may even harden its stance against these pressures.
Ma’ruf Amin: A Shield from Identity Politics, but not a Vote-getter?
Ma’ruf Amin, Joko Wido’s choice of running mate for the presidential election in April next year, was chosen mainly to “shield” the Presdient from the attacks utilising the politics of identity and religion. However, Jokowi’s camp needs to lower their expectations for Ma’ruf Amin as a vote-getter as he lacks appeal among young voters.
Why did Vietnam Cancel its Defence Engagements with the US?
Vietnam cancelled the fifteen defence engagement activities scheduled for 2019 with the United States. Whether it will reverse its decision depends on whether the US will waive sanctions on countries buying military equipment from Russia; the future direction of US-China relations, and China’s stance in the South China Sea dispute.
The Mid-Term Review of the Eleventh Malaysia Plan: A Glimpse of the PH Government’s Future Economic Policy Directions
The Mid-Term Review of the Eleventh Malaysia Plan (MTR-11MP) is a broad overview of the PH government’s future economic policy directions with emphasis on institutional reforms and reducing state-level developmental gaps that have persisted.
The Sudden Passing of President Tran Dai Quang and Its Implications
The sudden passing of Vietnamese President Tran Dai Quang has created a vacant position without a clear front runner to fill it. Though largely ceremonial, it will have important implications for the country’s political system.
Philippine Federalism: More National-Level Politicians
Philippines seeking to review the 1987 Constitution from a unitary to a federal system. But a leaked copy of the Committee’s draft constitution supported critics’ argument that it will benefit the political interests of the current national-level politicians than to contribute to a more efficient and devolved political system.
Vietnam’s Anti-corruption Campaign: How much is it about Political Infighting?
General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong led the fight against corruption among high-profile politicians and those in the state-owned enterprises (SOE) who are closely associated with former Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung. The anti-corruption campaign is a watershed development that hopes to establish Mr Trong’s legacy after he retires in 2021.
Reviewing Mahathir’s and Malaysia’s Foreign Policy
Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad’s visit to Japan in June 2018 signaled the government’s interest to work closely with Japan. While affirming friendly ties with China, Malaysia will vigorously defend its rights in the South China Sea disputes.