The State of Southeast Asia 2026 Survey
When US Leadership Loses Its Sheen
Joanne Lin
Across a broad range of indicators, the US’ broader standing in the region has weakened.

The State of Southeast Asia 2026 Survey
Joanne Lin
Across a broad range of indicators, the US’ broader standing in the region has weakened.
The State of Southeast Asia 2026 Survey
Joanne Lin
Southeast Asia has traditionally preferred not to take sides in the long-standing Sino-US rivalry. A fall in confidence in the US makes this a harder choice to make.
Hoang Thi Ha
The 2nd Trump administration has overturned long-standing pillars of US foreign policy, slashing aid, weaponising tariffs, and dismantling multilateral and normative commitments. Southeast Asia – with deep ties to the US economically, strategically, and developmentally – has been particularly vulnerable to these shocks.
Ryan Hass
The world is transitioning out of a U.S.-led international order, but there is not yet clarity on the attributes of the next international order that will take its place. This Long Read argues that the period of transition could be turbulent, but it need not be destructive to the upward growth prospects of Southeast Asia.
Stephen Olson
Beyond the pomp and pageantry of Trump’s visit to Southeast Asia, some aspects of America’s policies towards the region have become clearer.
Tang Siew Mun
US President Donald Trump’s decision to attend the upcoming ASEAN Summits in Kuala Lumpur has put the Malaysian authorities in a pickle.
Joanne Lin|William Choong
President Trump will make a spectacle of his presence in Kuala Lumpur, but is unlikely to offer ASEAN the reliable, long-term engagement it seeks.
Jayant Menon
Facing Trump’s latest round of tariffs, Southeast Asian exports face a dilemma. But the incentive to “eat” or absorb the tariffs might diminish over time.
Stephen Olson
Given current information available regarding the US’ tariff regime towards countries such as Vietnam and Indonesia, it is hard to assess which regional countries will come up tops in the ongoing saga.
Jayant Menon|Priyanka Kishore|Alex Capri|Julia Tijaja|Runchana Pongsaparn|Nick Marro
On 2 April 2025, the Trump 2.0 administration announced sweeping reciprocal tariffs aimed at eliminating the US trade deficit with individual countries – in a move hailed by US President Donald Trump as “Liberation Day”. Southeast Asian countries have not been spared, with Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam, and Myanmar among the hardest hit. Some countries, including China, have responded with retaliatory measures, raising the risk of further escalation from the US. While a temporary 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs offers a brief respite, this period is set to expire in early July.