The State of Southeast Asia 2026 Survey
Southeast Asia: Not Choosing Sides but Options
Joanne Lin|Melinda Martinus
Dealt a tough deck of geopolitical cards, Southeast Asia wagers on flexibility and plurilateralism.

The State of Southeast Asia 2026 Survey
Joanne Lin|Melinda Martinus
Dealt a tough deck of geopolitical cards, Southeast Asia wagers on flexibility and plurilateralism.
The State of Southeast Asia 2026 Survey
Joanne Lin
Southeast Asia has traditionally preferred not to take sides in the long-standing Sino-US rivalry. A fall in confidence in the US makes this a harder choice to make.
Juthathip Jongwanich
Thailand could leverage on the ASEAN–China Free Trade Area (ACFTA) to redress its burgeoning trade deficit with China and get its industrial development plans back on track.
Olivia Tan Jia Yi
Southeast Asia has more clarity on US tariffs and trade conditions, but China’s reaction looms on the horizon. The region's position is particularly precarious because China wields substantial leverage across lending, investment, and trade.
Qian Yuming
China has sought to promote its Global Security Initiative in Southeast Asia by implementing tangible projects in regional countries.
Isabelle Chua
Isabelle Chua analyses the rapid expansion of Chinese food brands, highlighting how this trend has become an informal yet influential form of Chinese soft power in Southeast Asia.
Joanne Lin|Pou Sothirak
The Code of Conduct (COC) negotiations between ASEAN and China have reached an impasse, hindered by legal ambiguities, strategic divergences, and ASEAN’s internal divisions. ASEAN must move away from a binary approach that equates success with legal binds, and instead explore more pragmatic alternatives.
Maria Monica Wihardja|Aufa Doarest
Faced with a potential tsunami of Chinese imports, ASEAN countries might feel tempted to effect gut-reaction measures such as trade barriers. For better policy making, some data-based perspectives will be useful.
Kristina Fong Siew Leng
ASEAN countries find themselves in a more delicate position trying to address US concerns while maintaining favourable relations with China.
Phan Xuan Dung|Nguyen Khac Giang
China has embarked on a charm offensive in Southeast Asia in the wake of the US’ “Liberation Day” tariffs. This is unlikely to allay concerns about its regional behaviour.