29 May 2026 Between Talks and Tensions: Why the South China Sea Won’t Stabilise in 2026 Sophie Wushuang Yi Progress on the South China Sea dispute between the Philippines and China is in limbo, and likely to stay that way. China China-Philippine Relations Philippine South China Sea
28 May 2026 The 2016 South China Sea Arbitration Award Did Not Fail Lowell Bautista|Aries A. Arugay The Philippines' arbitral victory in 2016, though rejected by China, has helped entrench the law of the sea as the region's principal framework for understanding and contesting maritime claims. China China-Philippine Relations Philippine South China Sea
5 May 2026 Sino-Philippine Energy Cooperation in the South China Sea: A Chimera Ian Storey Faced with an energy crisis at home, Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos has broached the idea of joint energy cooperation with China. The idea will not fly, for a variety of reasons. China Energy Philippine South China Sea
4 May 2026 Still Legally Relevant: The South China Sea Award After Ten Years Pham Ngoc Minh Trang|Tran le Duy The 2016 arbitral ruling on the South China Sea has subtly shifted claimant states’ practices, a decade on. China Malaysia Maritime Security Philippine South China Sea Vietnam
29 Dec 2025 2025 Top 10 Artificial Intelligence is Intensifying South China Sea Disputes in the Philippines Nuurrianti Jalli|Angel Martinez AI-generated propaganda is being used to distort reality and disinform the public, even gathering support for military escalation in already troubled waters. 2025 Top 10 Artificial Intelligence China-Philippine Relations Philippine Philippine Politics Social Media South China Sea
21 Oct 2025 Scarborough Shoal Standoff: More Deterrence, Less Trust Zhihua Zheng|Jiawei Wang The dispute over Scarborough Shoal reflects a fragile balance sustained by deterrence and symbolism rather than trust. China China-Philippine Relations Philippines South China Sea
19 Aug 2025 Scarborough Shoal Incident Might Raise Tensions Ian Storey|Aries A. Arugay A recent incident between the Philippine Coast Guard and China’s maritime forces could presage a change in tactics by the latter. If this is so, tensions in the disputed area might head north. China China-Philippine Relations Philippine South China Sea
11 Jul 2025 The 2016 South China Sea Ruling at Nine: Where Does ASEAN Stand? Pham Ngoc Minh Trang Nine years after an international arbitral tribunal ruled in the Philippines’ favour against China on the two parties’ disputed claims in the South China Sea, there are some glimmers of a more coherent – but still imperfect and incomplete – ASEAN position on the hotspot issue. ASEAN China China-Philippine Relations Philippine South China Sea
27 Jun 2025 The Elusive Code: Why ASEAN Needs a New Playbook for the South China Sea Joanne Lin|Pou Sothirak The Code of Conduct (COC) negotiations between ASEAN and China have reached an impasse, hindered by legal ambiguities, strategic divergences, and ASEAN’s internal divisions. ASEAN must move away from a binary approach that equates success with legal binds, and instead explore more pragmatic alternatives. ASEAN Summit ASEAN-China Relations Code of Conduct South China Sea State of Southeast Asia Survey
15 Apr 2025 The State of Southeast Asia Survey 2025 Turbulent Waters Remain Top of Mind Hoang Thi Ha|Eugene R.L. Tan China has sought to paint a narrative about a peaceful situation in the South China Sea. But Southeast Asian respondents to the State of Southeast Asia Survey 2025 beg to differ. ASEAN China South China Sea State of Southeast Asia Survey
