Between Talks and Tensions: Why the South China Sea Won’t Stabilise in 2026
Sophie Wushuang Yi
Progress on the South China Sea dispute between the Philippines and China is in limbo, and likely to stay that way.

Sophie Wushuang Yi
Progress on the South China Sea dispute between the Philippines and China is in limbo, and likely to stay that way.
Lowell Bautista|Aries A. Arugay
The Philippines' arbitral victory in 2016, though rejected by China, has helped entrench the law of the sea as the region's principal framework for understanding and contesting maritime claims.
2025 Top 10
Nuurrianti Jalli|Angel Martinez
AI-generated propaganda is being used to distort reality and disinform the public, even gathering support for military escalation in already troubled waters.
Zhihua Zheng|Jiawei Wang
The dispute over Scarborough Shoal reflects a fragile balance sustained by deterrence and symbolism rather than trust.
Ian Storey|Aries A. Arugay
A recent incident between the Philippine Coast Guard and China’s maritime forces could presage a change in tactics by the latter. If this is so, tensions in the disputed area might head north.
Pham Ngoc Minh Trang
Nine years after an international arbitral tribunal ruled in the Philippines’ favour against China on the two parties’ disputed claims in the South China Sea, there are some glimmers of a more coherent – but still imperfect and incomplete – ASEAN position on the hotspot issue.
Teresita Ang See|Siti Suhaila Bte Mohd Harith
The Philippines has seen a rise in the number of espionage allegations against entities and individuals linked to China. Given the gravity of the issue, the authorities need to clarify and disprove such claims to prevent a downward spiral.
Nuurrianti Jalli|Angel Martinez
AI-generated propaganda is being used to distort reality and disinform the public, even gathering support for military escalation in already troubled waters.
2024 Top 10
Maria Gabriela Alano|Deryk Baladjay
The Philippines needs to start investing in a credible deterrence strategy if it wants to secure its interests in the West Philippine Sea.
Maria Gabriela Alano|Deryk Baladjay
The Philippines needs to start investing in a credible deterrence strategy if it wants to secure its interests in the West Philippine Sea.