According to Hamzah Zainudin, Parti Wawasan Negara can serve as serve as "a bridge" for the two major parties, Parti Islam SeMalaysia and the United Malays National Organisation. (Photo by Parti Wawasan Negara / Facebook)

Parti Wawasan Negara’s Gambit: A Bridge Too Far

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Parti Wawasan Negara is styling itself as a “bridge” from Parti Islam SeMalaysia and the United Malays National Organisation. The odds of Wawasan attaining this role are long.

When Hamzah Zainudin launched Parti Wawasan Negara (Wawasan) in June, the former deputy president of Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia (Bersatu) was explicit about its aspirations. According to him, Wawasan can serve as serve as “a bridge” between the two major parties, Parti Islam SeMalaysia (PAS) and the United Malays National Organisation (UMNO).

The word “bridge” can mean many things, including being a coalition partner. It is worth noting the context behind Hamzah’s comments: 19 Members of Parliament (MPs), including Hamzah, were sacked or suspended from Bersatu. The MPs who crossed over to Wawasan are allowed to keep their seats under Malaysia’s anti-hopping law. But Hamzah was being specific: by using the term “bridge”, he was alluding to Wawasan becoming an intermediary in Malaysia’s political landscape.

Wawasan’s proposition is significant, even if the odds of it becoming a “bridge” are long. First, a bridge party’s value lies not just in its own seat count but in the transactions it makes possible between other parties. Smaller parties have struggled to find a footing in Malaysian politics. For example, former Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad’s Pejuang party won no seats in the last general election. While it is still early days, Parti Bersama Malaysia (Bersama), which is helmed by former Parti Keadilan Rakyat (PKR) heavyweight Rafizi Ramli, was wiped out in the recent Johor state polls. Within this historical context of smaller parties, Wawasan is trying to carve out a new niche as a broker.

Second, the Malay vote — the biggest voting bloc — is now splintered across more parties. No single Peninsular bloc — whether Barisan Nasional (BN), Pakatan Harapan (PH), or Perikatan Nasional (PN) — can deliver a parliamentary majority on its own. This has made Sarawak and Sabah kingmakers, because the Peninsula is more divided. A PAS-UMNO tie-up that aligns their respective PN-BN coalitions, facilitated by Wawasan or otherwise, would reduce reliance on East Malaysia and shift the balance of power back to Peninsular parties in the next 16th General Election (GE16).

The assumption behind Wawasan’s gambit is that PAS and longstanding rival UMNO need a go-between. This, however, might not hold water. PAS and UMNO are already talking and cooperating informally. In the recent Johor polls, PAS told voters to support BN wherever PN was not on the ballot. BN and PN also divvied up seats for the Negeri Sembilan polls in August to avoid contesting each other, with Wawasan participating as a PN member.

The two grand old parties are capable of doing business when interests align. The bigger problem is turning this into formal cooperation. While UMNO Vice-President Mohamad Hasan called PAS “a trusted partner”, BN President Zahid Hamidi quickly downplayed the BN-PN seat-sharing arrangement. Any such talks amounted to no more than an informal “understanding” and PAS can “change the goalposts anytime”.

UMNO must also manage Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim. Any cooperation with PAS must remain informal to protect UMNO’s federal-level alliance with Anwar’s PH.

UMNO does not want a tie-up yet, either brokered or otherwise. Its reluctance is structural. When UMNO and PAS formed the Muafakat Nasional coalition in 2019, the former had 54 seats in Parliament, compared with PAS’ 18. Today, PAS is the largest Malay party, with 43 seats against UMNO’s 26. A formal partnership requires UMNO accepting junior status, which will be a bitter pill to swallow.

UMNO must also manage Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim. Any cooperation with PAS must remain informal to protect UMNO’s federal-level alliance with Anwar’s PH. Moreover, after BN’s landslide victory in Johor, the coalition is confident it can contest GE16 solo. A pre-GE16 political marriage would lock in obligations before knowing which coalition would eventually come out ahead.

But election strategy is just one factor. Wawasan is PAS’ partner in PN, not an independent broker. UMNO having to go through Wawasan to work with PAS adds a procedural layer. But PAS still sets the terms — unless Wawasan wins big in the upcoming elections and garners leverage that cannot be ignored. Wawasan had a good maiden outing in Negeri Sembilan, winning three out of four contested seats. But Wawasan contested under the PN banner, and it remains to be seen whether voters are backing Wawasan specifically.

As for PAS, it is treating Wawasan less as a bridge and more as a Malay-majority party under its operational influence. In PN, Wawasan functions much like Bersatu before it, giving PAS access to Malay voters averse to PAS’ Islamist brand.

Finally, the Malay unity momentum Wawasan is trying to ride on may make its role as a broker redundant. A broker earns its value by facilitating transactions that are too costly for two parties to enact themselves, such as political cover. If Wawasan facilitates a formal partnership, UMNO can frame its participation as responding to a broader call for Malay unity rather than conceding to PAS.

There is, however, a hitch to this train of logic — the said political cover is already underway. While Wawasan is pitching the idea of a bridge, PAS is framing cooperation with UMNO as a necessary evil and UMNO is pushing for Malay unity through its Rumah Bangsa (Home of the Malays) call. Stemming from separate initiatives, the public ground is being softened for such a thrust. This strategic convergence is partly to deflect criticism for UMNO-PAS cooperation during state elections. But the consequence is that the face-saving problem may be resolving itself without the need for Wawasan’s “bridging” role.

As it stands, Wawasan’s broker gambit is less relevant for now unless the political landscape changes. But even if not a broker, Wawasan’s bridging efforts — such as Hamzah giving speeches at UMNO rallies as opposition leader — are doing something that informal PAS-UMNO cooperation and PAS-Wawasan-UMNO negotiations cannot. It tests the appetite, among elites and voters, for Malay cooperation coordinated by a Malay-majority party that is not UMNO or PAS.

Heading into GE16, the Malay votes not captured by UMNO or PAS are worth watching. PH’s component parties, PKR and Parti Amanah Negara, will try but have historically struggled to win much of the Malay vote. Meanwhile, Bersatu has imploded and it is still early days for Wawasan. The decisive question for GE16 may not only be whether UMNO and PAS can cooperate, but who can organise the Malay voters between them.

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Amalina Anuar is a Visiting Fellow at ISEAS - Yusof Ishak Institute, and Senior Director at FMT Business, FMT Media’s strategy, intelligence and research arm.